My personal picks should come this weekend, once I get to see Zero Dark Thirty.
BEST PICTURE
Argo
Beasts Of The Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life Of Pi
Lincoln
Moonrise Kingdom
Silver Linings Playbook
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
I think that there's going to be a full 10 nominees this year. Argo, Les Miserables, Life Of Pi, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook, and Zero Dark Thirty seem like safe guesses. Django will probably get in too, considering the success that Basterds had, and how reception to this is similar, albeit not quite as strong. Moonrise Kingdom and Beasts have gotten the important Critic's Choice and Producers Guild awards, so they should be able to sneak in. Skyfall will probably sneak in, because it seems to be the blockbuster favorite of the year.
BEST DIRECTOR
Ben Affleck (Argo)
Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty)
Ang Lee (Life Of Pi)
Tom Hooper (Les Miserables)
Steven Spielberg (Lincoln)
The fifth spot for me was between Ang Lee and David O. Russel for Silver Linings Playbook. I decided to give it to Ang Lee because of the more unique style that Lee brought in adapting this. He also got in at the globes over Russel. Hooper will probably get in, considering how they loved his style in The King's Speech. Les Mis will probably hit the right notes with these guys, too. (No pun intended.) Affleck, Bigelow, and Spielberg are pretty obvious.
BEST ACTOR
Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)
Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
John Hawkes (The Sessions)
Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables)
Denzel Washington (Flight)
This was a pretty easy category to predict. The fact that all five of these actors got nominated for an SAG is also promising. This seems like a strong line-up.
BEST ACTRESS
Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
Marion Cotillard (Rust & Bone)
Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)
Naomi Watts (The Impossible)
Riva could probably be overtaken by Mirren, but Amour has gotten a lot of raves, and the Academy might want to recognize the prestige of the legendary French actress. The other four have been consistently nominated, so expect easy nominations for them.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Javier Bardem (Skyfall)
Robert DeNiro (Silver Linings Playbook)
Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)
Any of the supporting roles in Django Unchained, most notably Waltz, has a chance of sneaking in here, but these are probably safe bets for the Oscar. Having said that, I'll predict him anyway. I'm a rebel like that. The academy often likes giving supporting actor nods to big films which can't often get bigger nominations. Examples include Bridesmaids, The Dark Knight, and Tropic Thunder. Bardem also has an Oscar, so his name has extra prestige here.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams (The Master)
Judi Dench (Skyfall)
Sally Field (Lincoln)
Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
Helen Hunt (The Sessions)
Judi Dench may make for another nod for Skyfall, which may surprise us tommorow! With Field, Hathaway, and Hunt essentially locks for nominations, it's between Amy Adams and Nicole Kidman (The Paperboy) for the last spot. I gave the edge to Adams, because support for The Master is light, but passionate.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Amour
Django Unchained
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
Zero Dark Thirty
I'd love to see Looper sneak in an Oscar nomination here, but Amour seems more likely to snag the last spot. Both Andersons, Boal, and Tarantino are no strangers to this category, so expect easy nods for the other four films.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Argo
Life Of Pi
Lincoln
The Sessions
Silver Linings Playbook
Much like the other screenplay category, and most categories I've discussed, actually, we have four locks and a duel for the last spot. It's between Beasts Of The Southern Wild, The Sessions, and Perks Of Being A Wallflower. I decided to give it to the Sessions because I'm not certain that Perks is really going to click with a lot of the academy members, and Beasts specialized in direction rather than screenplay, at least in my opinion.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Anna Karenina
Cloud Atlas
Life Of Pi
Lincoln
Zero Dark Thirty
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"Before My Time" (Chasing Ice)
"Learn Me Right" (Brave)
"Skyfall" (Skyfall)
"Suddenly" (Les Miserables)
"Touch The Sky" (Brave)
BEST FILM EDITING
Argo
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Anna Karenina
Les Miserables
Life Of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall
BEST ART DIRECTION
Anna Karenina
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Miserables
Life Of Pi
Lincoln
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Anna Karenina
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Mirror, Mirror
BEST MAKEUP
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Miserables
Lincoln
BEST SOUND MIXING
Les Miserables
Life Of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
BEST SOUND EDITING
Django Unchained
The Dark Knight Rises
Les Miserables
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Cloud Atlas
The Dark Knight Rises
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life Of Pi
Marvel's The Avengers
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Brave
Frankenweenie
ParaNorman
Rise Of The Guardians
Wreck-It Ralph
BEST FOREIGN FEATURE
Amour
The Intouchables
Kon-Tiki
No
A Royal Affair
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Detropia
The Gatekeepers
How To Survive A Plauge
The Invisible War
Searching For Sugar Man
--------------------------
NOMINEE COUNT
Lincoln - 13
Les Miserables - 11
Life Of Pi - 8
Skyfall - 8
Zero Dark Thirty - 8
Silver Linings Playbook - 5
Django Unchained - 5
Argo - 4
Anna Karenina - 4
Django Unchained - 4
Amour - 3
Brave - 3
The Master - 3
Beasts Of The Southern Wild - 2
Moonrise Kingdom - 2
The Sessions - 2
Cloud Atlas - 2
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - 2
The Dark Knight Rises - 2
Marvel's The Avengers - 1
Chasing Ice - 1
Flight - 1
Rust & Bone - 1
The Impossible - 1
Frankenweenie - 1
ParaNorman - 1
Rise Of The Guardians - 1
Wreck-It Ralph - 1
The Intouchables - 1
Kon-Tiki - 1
No - 1
A Royal Affair - 1
Detropia - 1
The Gatekeepers - 1
How To Survive A Plauge - 1
The Invisible War - 1
Searching For Sugar Man - 1
Mirror, Mirror - 1
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