July 6 - 89.29%
July 13 - 91.91%
July 20 - 75.44%
July 27 - 94.15%
Average - 87.70%
Me gusta.
Monday, July 30, 2012
Thursday, July 26, 2012
July 27-28: Doom & Gloom
After last weekend's horrifying turn of events, the entire field of box office was effected. With the incident still lingering and the excitement of the Olympic opening ceremony, it's unlikely to see the entire market rebound this weekend.
1. The Dark Knight Rises - $62.5m (-61.2%)
2. The Watch - $14.8m (~$4,933 PTA)
3. Ice Age: Continental Drift - $12.8m (-37.3%)
4. Step Up: Revolution - $11.5m (~$4,600 PTA)
5. The Amazing Spider-Man - 6.3m (-42.1%)
6. Ted - 6.1m (-39.1%)
7. Brave - 4m (-33.6%)
8. Magic Mike - 2.6m (-39.4%)
9. Savages - 1.7m (-50%)
10. Moonrise Kingdom - $1.4m (-23.5%)
Despite winning the weekend without breaking a sweat, The Dark Knight Rises will still tumble. The film's weekday holds have been not so great, performing on the lower end of expectations. The shooting at Aurora hasn't left anyone's minds yet, (Frankly, I'd be concerned if it did) and WOM for this is strong, but not enough so to get it through any disaster. That, and you have the highly anticipated Olympics starting with the opening ceremony tomorrow night. It's pretty disappointing how bleak things have gotten.
The Watch is not in a position to break out. Despite a few good reactions to the trailer, interest has never been too high, especially since it still has to face TDKR's second weekend. Take that with limited online buzz, and a comparison point to the dissapoint 2011 flick, The Change Up, I don't see this being very successful. Finally, we have Step Up Revolution, the 3D fourquel to the franchise. Fourquels typically disappoint from their predecessors, and this should be no exception. Small buzz for the genre online, as well as a generally depressed market. Too bad, so sad.
1. The Dark Knight Rises - $62.5m (-61.2%)
2. The Watch - $14.8m (~$4,933 PTA)
3. Ice Age: Continental Drift - $12.8m (-37.3%)
4. Step Up: Revolution - $11.5m (~$4,600 PTA)
5. The Amazing Spider-Man - 6.3m (-42.1%)
6. Ted - 6.1m (-39.1%)
7. Brave - 4m (-33.6%)
8. Magic Mike - 2.6m (-39.4%)
9. Savages - 1.7m (-50%)
10. Moonrise Kingdom - $1.4m (-23.5%)
Despite winning the weekend without breaking a sweat, The Dark Knight Rises will still tumble. The film's weekday holds have been not so great, performing on the lower end of expectations. The shooting at Aurora hasn't left anyone's minds yet, (Frankly, I'd be concerned if it did) and WOM for this is strong, but not enough so to get it through any disaster. That, and you have the highly anticipated Olympics starting with the opening ceremony tomorrow night. It's pretty disappointing how bleak things have gotten.
The Watch is not in a position to break out. Despite a few good reactions to the trailer, interest has never been too high, especially since it still has to face TDKR's second weekend. Take that with limited online buzz, and a comparison point to the dissapoint 2011 flick, The Change Up, I don't see this being very successful. Finally, we have Step Up Revolution, the 3D fourquel to the franchise. Fourquels typically disappoint from their predecessors, and this should be no exception. Small buzz for the genre online, as well as a generally depressed market. Too bad, so sad.
Friday, July 20, 2012
A Moment Of Silence
http://www.latimes.com/entertainment/movies/moviesnow/la-et-mn-aurora-dark-knight-rises-shootings-have-eerie-overtones-20120720,0,6667244.story?track=rss
It was supposed to be one of the biggest events in Hollywood of all time. People were excited for it for several years. I'm talking about the premiere of The Dark Knight Rises. And one man ruined it for everyone.
This despicable human being opened fire at a midnight showing of the movie last night. 14 were killed, and ~50 were injured. These figures both include young children. Disgusting. These people were all dying to see the movie, and being here must have been very meaningful. However, they died before even getting past the half hour mark. It's shameful that they can't experiences what they've been waiting for for so long. I don't want to think about the implications of the box office after this event. Seeing this event has made me sick to my stomach ever since I woke up this morning.
I can only imagine what the filmmakers are going through. It wasn't their fault that this happened, and none of them should feel responsible for one horrible person's vile actions. Knowing that a film you worked so lovingly on for so long has led to this? It must be painful for them. Of course, the biggest sympathy goes out to the victims, as well as their friends and family. No one could have possibly seen this coming. It was a highly anticipated movie that turned into a nightmare for these people. The close friends and families of the victims are probably in shocked disbelief and utter devastation after finding out about this. My thoughts go out to all of you.
I don't know what the killer's motives was, but no matter what he was trying to prove or accomplish, he changed the way many would go into this movie. He changed excitement to fear for many people, and turned what was supposed to be an exciting moment into a living nightmare. History was made, but not in a good way. Several years in prison would hardly atone for the cruel things that he's done.
My point is this: I'm not telling you not to see the movie because of what happened. Just recognize the unfortunate souls who never got to experience the movie they longed to see-or any such movie to come.
Thank you for listening.
It was supposed to be one of the biggest events in Hollywood of all time. People were excited for it for several years. I'm talking about the premiere of The Dark Knight Rises. And one man ruined it for everyone.
This despicable human being opened fire at a midnight showing of the movie last night. 14 were killed, and ~50 were injured. These figures both include young children. Disgusting. These people were all dying to see the movie, and being here must have been very meaningful. However, they died before even getting past the half hour mark. It's shameful that they can't experiences what they've been waiting for for so long. I don't want to think about the implications of the box office after this event. Seeing this event has made me sick to my stomach ever since I woke up this morning.
I can only imagine what the filmmakers are going through. It wasn't their fault that this happened, and none of them should feel responsible for one horrible person's vile actions. Knowing that a film you worked so lovingly on for so long has led to this? It must be painful for them. Of course, the biggest sympathy goes out to the victims, as well as their friends and family. No one could have possibly seen this coming. It was a highly anticipated movie that turned into a nightmare for these people. The close friends and families of the victims are probably in shocked disbelief and utter devastation after finding out about this. My thoughts go out to all of you.
I don't know what the killer's motives was, but no matter what he was trying to prove or accomplish, he changed the way many would go into this movie. He changed excitement to fear for many people, and turned what was supposed to be an exciting moment into a living nightmare. History was made, but not in a good way. Several years in prison would hardly atone for the cruel things that he's done.
My point is this: I'm not telling you not to see the movie because of what happened. Just recognize the unfortunate souls who never got to experience the movie they longed to see-or any such movie to come.
Thank you for listening.
Thursday, July 19, 2012
July 20-22 Predictions: The Dark Knight Rises
1. The Dark Knight Rises- 195m ($44,278 PTA)
2. Ice Age: Continental Drift - 22.5m (-51.7%)
3. The Amazing Spider-Man - 15.1m (-56.4%)
4. Ted - 12.7m (-43.3%)
5. Brave - 6.4m (-42.7%)
6. Magic Mike - 5m (-44.5%)
7. Savages - 4.6m (-51%)
8. Moonrise Kingdom - 2.7m (-27.1%)
9. Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection - 2.6m (-53.5%)
10. Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted - 1.8m (-50.9%)
Not Dark Knight? You get hit hard, unless you were made by WB and out long enough to be fudged.....oh, and Moonrise Kingdom, too.
2. Ice Age: Continental Drift - 22.5m (-51.7%)
3. The Amazing Spider-Man - 15.1m (-56.4%)
4. Ted - 12.7m (-43.3%)
5. Brave - 6.4m (-42.7%)
6. Magic Mike - 5m (-44.5%)
7. Savages - 4.6m (-51%)
8. Moonrise Kingdom - 2.7m (-27.1%)
9. Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection - 2.6m (-53.5%)
10. Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted - 1.8m (-50.9%)
Not Dark Knight? You get hit hard, unless you were made by WB and out long enough to be fudged.....oh, and Moonrise Kingdom, too.
Wednesday, July 18, 2012
THE DARK KNIGHT RISES: Final Analysis & Prediction
Well, it's officially time for what could be the biggest film event of the summer. You all know what I'm talking about: Step Up Revolution.
______________________________
Yeah...no. Here's my final words about The Dark Knight Rises before it opens on Friday.
PART 1: THE PUNDITS' VERDICT
As of Wednesday Afternoon, The Dark Knight Rises has a score of 80/100 on Metacritic with 25 reviews and 87% on Rotten Tomatoes with an average rating of 8.3/10 based on nearly 100 reviews. Perfectly in line with Nolan's past works, it's also his 7th consecutive film to score a certified fresh rating on Rotten Tomatoes. In fact, Following was the only film to not recieve this rank, and only because it didn't have enough reviews.
However, there were still some negative reviews, and knowing the internet, the harsher critics felt the wrath of fanboys everywhere. It got so bad, that RT actually had to close the comment section of all TDKR reviews! Much like the fact that most critics would like it, this wasn't really that surprising either. Films of this nature are breeding grounds for flame wars.
RT Consensus: The Dark Knight Rises is an ambitious, thoughtful, and potent action film that concludes Christopher Nolan's franchise in spectacular fashion, even if it doesn't quite meet the high standard set by its predecessor.
Of course it was going to be difficult for the film to live up to its predecessor, ranked highly among the modern greats, but the majority agreed that it wasn't going to be a bad film. These glowing praises are not unsurprising, but it's nice to know that we're all in for a treat starting on Friday. (Well, more like Thursday night.)
PART 2: DC VS. MARVEL
Earlier this year, The Avengers wowed everyone in the box office world by pulling off a nearly unprecedented opening weekend over $200m. Many predictors were quick on the draw to claim that Batman would perform the same feat two months later. Can it?
Some people thought that while The Avengers had a low 3D share, the dollar difference still played a big role. Nolan is sticking to his anti-3D beliefs (something I greatly appreciate) and only giving this IMAX and D-BOX boosts. The Avengers couldn't have added more than a small share of 3D royalties, as only 40% of tickets were bought for the extra dimension. According to BOM, that's roughly 10m tickets of the ow. Basically, The Avengers would have made at least 175m even without 3D, and given the massive hype surrounding TDKR, it should be able to easily pass that number.
Also, the IMAX factor is going to be pimped out for this film even more, with 300+ locations and nearly an hour of this film shot in IMAX. It will certainly pressure a lot of people to pay extra to see it in the larger format. Nolan has always excelled at making his films shine in IMAX, and this film could be his finest proof.
Overall, it's going to be a close battle between the two films. Both had powerhouse buzz, stellar reviews, hyped fans, and effective marketing campaigns. I can imagine more than a 90m gap between the two.
PART 3: MIDNIGHT MADNESS
The makerting team has made it clear that this is the big event of the summer. Ever since the trailer showed with Harry Potter & The Deathly Hallows 2, as well as The Avengers, people are well aware of this film's landing. Given the fact that it's also being depicted as Batman's biggest challenge to date, as well as the final installment to Christopher Nolan's batman trilogy, this is not a film to take lightly. Given this marketing, it's clear that people will want to see this the minute it opens.
With films like Harry Potter, Twilight, & The Hunger Games, the midnight premiere market is growing frequently. Even The Avengers managed in the high teens on a day when school was still in session, slightly more than what The Dark Knight managed. Given the major pull of event films to midnight premieres, The Dark Knight rises could get past 30m, an unprecedented feat for a superhero film.
So far, only 3 films have 'eclipsed' that mark: Eclipse and Breaking Dawn of the Twilight Saga, and the current record holder, Deathly Hallows 2, with a staggering 43.5m. Of course, TDKR will struggle to approach such a high number, but 30m is attainable. However, it will probably take up a higher share of the daily gross on Friday if that is the case. The Dark Knight's midnight were about ~27% of its friday gross. I don't see the finale going any lower.
PART 4: SOME PERSONAL THOUGHTS
4 years ago, I saw The Dark Knight in a crowded movie theater, and this was a 6:10 show on an August Tuesday. Huge applause at the end, big gasps at the right spots, and so on-it was one of my favorite movie-going experiences of all time. I'm now looking forward to The Dark Knight Rises in an even greater respect.
Like so many of us, avoiding spoilers on the internet was a difficult task. I never read a single review, only checking if the critic liked it or not. So far, I'm clean, and once I see it, I look forward to seeing what I had to hide myself from when people discussed this movie.
I don't know what's going to happen at the very end, but all I can hope for is that Christopher Nolan did the right thing to do with the franchise. I have little doubt that he's going to let us down, so let's sit back, relax, and watch Batman's finest (?) hour unfold on the big screen.
PART 5: FINAL PREDICTIONS
Midnight: $31m
Friday: $89m (58m without midnights)
Saturday: $56m (-37.1% / -3.4%)
Sunday: $50m (-10.7%)
Opening Weekend: $195m ($44,278 PTA from 4,404 theaters.)
Domestic Total: $545m (2.79x from opening)
Overseas Gross: $705m
Worldwide Gross: $1.25b (43.6% from Domestic Gross)
______________________________
Yeah...no. Here's my final words about The Dark Knight Rises before it opens on Friday.
PART 1: THE PUNDITS' VERDICT
As of Wednesday Afternoon, The Dark Knight Rises has a score of 80/100 on Metacritic with 25 reviews and 87% on Rotten Tomatoes with an average rating of 8.3/10 based on nearly 100 reviews. Perfectly in line with Nolan's past works, it's also his 7th consecutive film to score a certified fresh rating on Rotten Tomatoes. In fact, Following was the only film to not recieve this rank, and only because it didn't have enough reviews.
However, there were still some negative reviews, and knowing the internet, the harsher critics felt the wrath of fanboys everywhere. It got so bad, that RT actually had to close the comment section of all TDKR reviews! Much like the fact that most critics would like it, this wasn't really that surprising either. Films of this nature are breeding grounds for flame wars.
RT Consensus: The Dark Knight Rises is an ambitious, thoughtful, and potent action film that concludes Christopher Nolan's franchise in spectacular fashion, even if it doesn't quite meet the high standard set by its predecessor.
Of course it was going to be difficult for the film to live up to its predecessor, ranked highly among the modern greats, but the majority agreed that it wasn't going to be a bad film. These glowing praises are not unsurprising, but it's nice to know that we're all in for a treat starting on Friday. (Well, more like Thursday night.)
PART 2: DC VS. MARVEL
Earlier this year, The Avengers wowed everyone in the box office world by pulling off a nearly unprecedented opening weekend over $200m. Many predictors were quick on the draw to claim that Batman would perform the same feat two months later. Can it?
Some people thought that while The Avengers had a low 3D share, the dollar difference still played a big role. Nolan is sticking to his anti-3D beliefs (something I greatly appreciate) and only giving this IMAX and D-BOX boosts. The Avengers couldn't have added more than a small share of 3D royalties, as only 40% of tickets were bought for the extra dimension. According to BOM, that's roughly 10m tickets of the ow. Basically, The Avengers would have made at least 175m even without 3D, and given the massive hype surrounding TDKR, it should be able to easily pass that number.
Also, the IMAX factor is going to be pimped out for this film even more, with 300+ locations and nearly an hour of this film shot in IMAX. It will certainly pressure a lot of people to pay extra to see it in the larger format. Nolan has always excelled at making his films shine in IMAX, and this film could be his finest proof.
Overall, it's going to be a close battle between the two films. Both had powerhouse buzz, stellar reviews, hyped fans, and effective marketing campaigns. I can imagine more than a 90m gap between the two.
PART 3: MIDNIGHT MADNESS
The makerting team has made it clear that this is the big event of the summer. Ever since the trailer showed with Harry Potter & The Deathly Hallows 2, as well as The Avengers, people are well aware of this film's landing. Given the fact that it's also being depicted as Batman's biggest challenge to date, as well as the final installment to Christopher Nolan's batman trilogy, this is not a film to take lightly. Given this marketing, it's clear that people will want to see this the minute it opens.
With films like Harry Potter, Twilight, & The Hunger Games, the midnight premiere market is growing frequently. Even The Avengers managed in the high teens on a day when school was still in session, slightly more than what The Dark Knight managed. Given the major pull of event films to midnight premieres, The Dark Knight rises could get past 30m, an unprecedented feat for a superhero film.
So far, only 3 films have 'eclipsed' that mark: Eclipse and Breaking Dawn of the Twilight Saga, and the current record holder, Deathly Hallows 2, with a staggering 43.5m. Of course, TDKR will struggle to approach such a high number, but 30m is attainable. However, it will probably take up a higher share of the daily gross on Friday if that is the case. The Dark Knight's midnight were about ~27% of its friday gross. I don't see the finale going any lower.
PART 4: SOME PERSONAL THOUGHTS
4 years ago, I saw The Dark Knight in a crowded movie theater, and this was a 6:10 show on an August Tuesday. Huge applause at the end, big gasps at the right spots, and so on-it was one of my favorite movie-going experiences of all time. I'm now looking forward to The Dark Knight Rises in an even greater respect.
Like so many of us, avoiding spoilers on the internet was a difficult task. I never read a single review, only checking if the critic liked it or not. So far, I'm clean, and once I see it, I look forward to seeing what I had to hide myself from when people discussed this movie.
I don't know what's going to happen at the very end, but all I can hope for is that Christopher Nolan did the right thing to do with the franchise. I have little doubt that he's going to let us down, so let's sit back, relax, and watch Batman's finest (?) hour unfold on the big screen.
PART 5: FINAL PREDICTIONS
Midnight: $31m
Friday: $89m (58m without midnights)
Saturday: $56m (-37.1% / -3.4%)
Sunday: $50m (-10.7%)
Opening Weekend: $195m ($44,278 PTA from 4,404 theaters.)
Domestic Total: $545m (2.79x from opening)
Overseas Gross: $705m
Worldwide Gross: $1.25b (43.6% from Domestic Gross)
Tuesday, July 10, 2012
Spoiler-Free Movie Review: Ted
Let's get this out of the way now: I don't like Family Guy, and I don't watch American Dad nor The Cleveland Show. Basically, I'm not really a big fan of Seth McFarlene's work. However, I still wanted to see Ted. Maybe it was all the big buzz? The huge box office? The strange appeal of the concept? Either way, I went to see it with a big crowd on Saturday, and here's what I thought about it.
There are some genuinely funny moments in here. The trailer covers a few of them, but a lot of them are saved for the actual movie, fortunately. I won't necessarily spoil them, but a lot of them don't involve unnecessary vulgarity. Unfortunately, the humor in this movie was hit and miss. Seth McFarlene pretty much just wants to see how far he can go with a Talking teddy bear, and he over-indulges to the point where it gets kind of repetitive before the movie ends. Ted is pretty funny at times, though, but he doesn't have to resort to excessive crude humor to be a great character. I will admit that I laughed often, but I sometimes thought to myself, "How exactly is this funny?" I'm not saying that the movie isn't filled with laughs-I've definitely enjoyed a lot of it, but the overload of crude and offensive humor got kind of stale, but again, I'm not a big fan of Seth McFarlane's comedic style.
The plot itself is pretty simple: Mark Whalberg must choose between bromance (Ted) and romace (Mila Kunis.) Whalberg and Kunis have really great chemistry, and also some really good comedic timing. I've particularly wanted to see Whalberg in more comedies after seeing the hysterical The Other Guys. A sub plot involving a co-worker (Joel McHale, of Community and The Soup! fame) makes romantic advantages on Kunis. This subplot (co-character creates a love triangle) is pretty overdone, but it wasn't particularly great here. Still, it's not really badly done. The other subplot was a little more interesting. A man (Giovanni Ribisi) wants to purchase the talking teddy bear for his son, but Whalberg refuses. Will he settle down and comply, though?
Overall, Ted is a decent comedy, but fans of Seth McFarlene's works are more likely to enjoy it. And that's not to say that I disliked it. I at least enjoyed it to some extent, and there are even some heartfelt moments in this. This gets a recommendation from me, but just bear-ly (Wakka wakka!)
B-
There are some genuinely funny moments in here. The trailer covers a few of them, but a lot of them are saved for the actual movie, fortunately. I won't necessarily spoil them, but a lot of them don't involve unnecessary vulgarity. Unfortunately, the humor in this movie was hit and miss. Seth McFarlene pretty much just wants to see how far he can go with a Talking teddy bear, and he over-indulges to the point where it gets kind of repetitive before the movie ends. Ted is pretty funny at times, though, but he doesn't have to resort to excessive crude humor to be a great character. I will admit that I laughed often, but I sometimes thought to myself, "How exactly is this funny?" I'm not saying that the movie isn't filled with laughs-I've definitely enjoyed a lot of it, but the overload of crude and offensive humor got kind of stale, but again, I'm not a big fan of Seth McFarlane's comedic style.
The plot itself is pretty simple: Mark Whalberg must choose between bromance (Ted) and romace (Mila Kunis.) Whalberg and Kunis have really great chemistry, and also some really good comedic timing. I've particularly wanted to see Whalberg in more comedies after seeing the hysterical The Other Guys. A sub plot involving a co-worker (Joel McHale, of Community and The Soup! fame) makes romantic advantages on Kunis. This subplot (co-character creates a love triangle) is pretty overdone, but it wasn't particularly great here. Still, it's not really badly done. The other subplot was a little more interesting. A man (Giovanni Ribisi) wants to purchase the talking teddy bear for his son, but Whalberg refuses. Will he settle down and comply, though?
Overall, Ted is a decent comedy, but fans of Seth McFarlene's works are more likely to enjoy it. And that's not to say that I disliked it. I at least enjoyed it to some extent, and there are even some heartfelt moments in this. This gets a recommendation from me, but just bear-ly (Wakka wakka!)
B-
July 13-15: Not So Calm Before The Storm
1. Ice Age: Continental Drift - $55m (~$14,474 PTA)
2. The Amazing Spider-Man - 31.3m (-49.5%)
3. Ted - $21.7m (-32.6%)
4. Brave - $11.2m (-42.9%)
5. Magic Mike - $9.2m (-41.2%)
6. Savages - $7.9m (-50.7%)
7. Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection - 5.3m (-47.9%)
8. Moonrise Kingdom - $4m (-11.5%)
9. Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted - $3.9m (-48.1%)
10. Katy Perry: Part Of Me (-53.7%)
Batman will take his stand against Bane next weekend, but that doesn't mean that we'll be bored for this weekend, considering how we've got the new installment in a popular animated franchise - Ice Age: Continental Drift. I'm doing predictions early this week because I'll be out of town until Sunday.
Ice Age: Continental Drift, the only new release this weekend, is guaranteed a top spot. This fourth installment pits Sid, Diego, & Manny against a vicious crew of prehistoric pirates. Meanwhile, Scrat, everyone's favorite saber-toothed squirrel, still seeks that coveted acorn. Despite mixed reviews and the common trend for fourth installments to dissapoint, Ice Age should be in the clear to do well. In fact, the franchise has an inexplicably huge appeal overseas. The film already has a 200m WW gross before it even hits domestic cinemas! An opening weekend slightly under Madagascar 3 & Brave seems appropriate, as does a finish of ~$180m.
If it follows the trend of Transformers 1 and 3, as well as Spider-Man 2, a drop of around 50% could be in store for Spider-Man. It could drop under that mark if it keeps close to TF1's pattern-not necessarily the same drops day to day, but a similar position when all is said and done. Expect a second weekend slightly over $30m.
After a strong hold last weekend, Ted could be sprouting some serious legs, and it could have the second best weekend hold after Moonrise Kingdom, which could lead to a total close to $200m. It won't be quite on the level of Hangover and Bridesmaids legs, but it'll still be pretty great. Speaking of Moonrise Kingdom, it's shaping up to be this year's Midnight In Paris. It wouldn't surprise me if it stuck around long enough to get past $50m, and maybe even a Best Picture nomination way into next winter.
Brave & Madagascar 3 should take something of a hit from Ice Age 4, another major animated release. Madagascar 3 will likely also lose a larger proportion theaters, so it may drop even more than Brave.
Note: You'll have to highlight some of this. I'm not quite sure what the problem is. Sorry!
Spaghetti, out.
Friday, July 6, 2012
Thursday, July 5, 2012
July 6-8: Spidey, Savages, & Pop Stars
1. The Amazing Spider-Man - $68.5m ($15,864 PTA)
2. Ted - $29.5m (-45.8%)
3. Brave - $19.6m (-42.5%)
4. Magic Mike - $13.3m (-66%)
5. Savages - $12m ($4,568 PTA)
6. Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection - $9.9m (-61%)
7. Katy Perry: Part Of Me 3D - $8m ($2,930 PTA)
8. Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted - $6.9m (-41.7%)
9. Moonrise Kingdom - $4.2m (-14.8%)
10. Marvel's The Avengers - $2.6m (-41.2%)
With The Amazing Spider-Man off to a great start from a 35m Tuesday, and despite a big dip on Tuesday, it should be off to a very successful weekend. Meanwhile, the other openers, despite good reviews, will fail to make a significant impression.
I'll be honest. I was wrong about the Amazing Spider-Man. I figured that this would get the boot after a superhero behemoth summer, (The Avengers & The Dark Knight Rises, primarily) as the other two had much more potential, but I guess the Spider-Man name is enough to draw in anyone, even without Raimi, MacGuire, and Dunst. Thus, the prediction at the top is based on what I've seen from weekly box office, and with some influence from Transformer's opening weekend in 2007. The weekdays line up perfectly with 2007, conveniently. Expect a weekend in the high 60s, if not low 70s.
Savages has been getting surprisingly decent-to-good reviews from critics, some calling it a return to form for famous director Oliver Stone. This hard-R look at the world of Mexican drug cartels may not seem like a crowd pleaser, but there is some interest. Having said that, I'm not sure that it will be able to compete against Spider-Man, plus it has box office poison Taylor Kitsch, coming off the financial failues of John Carter & Battleship. Fortunately, this one only cost $45m, so no fear of bombing. Still, it's not likely to make it back on the domestic run alone.
Katy Perry's new concert/documentary, Part Of Me, should have it worse. For every Justin Bieber and Miley Cyrus movie, we have a Jonas Brothers and Glee concert movie. Due to a low level of buzz, competing interests in the female market, (Brave, Magic Mike, probably Spider-Man, etc.) and the fact that Katy Perry isn't quite as popular as Bieber, the movie will fall into the category of the latter. It got good reviews, though, but that's generally uncommon for films of this genre.
The two major holdovers from last weekend, Ted and Magic Mike, will probably have different experiences in holds. Ted is already shaping up to be a runaway hit, with over 80m in a week, and it should manage to avoid a 50% dip this weekend, despite the film's mammoth opening weekend last week (I knew it would be big, but I chickened out at the last minute. >_>) I'm not chickening out on Magic Mike dropping big, though. It's already showing signs of massive front loaded-ness (40%+ drops on Saturday and Wednesday-even Spider-Man dropped less!) A drop in the high 60s may be in store for this, and it doesn't have the runaway WOM needed to keep it from a big fall.
EDIT: 89.29% Accuracy this week, with a perfect score on Brave.
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